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October 11, 2012 4:25 am

New Poll: Obama Attracts Only 47% of Likely Jewish Voters

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IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll.

New IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll numbers released yesterday show President Obama attracting a paltry 47% of Jewish votes among likely voters asked whom they would vote for if the U.S. presidential election were held today.

The report on the poll includes a disclaimer that is specific to the Jewish demographic saying, “small sample size. Interpret with caution.”

The number, if accurate, would mark an unprecedented decline in Jewish support from the 78% of Jewish voters that backed the President in 2008, and would also be a significant departure from a recent American Jewish Committee (AJC) poll released Sept. 27 that showed Obama with 65% of the Jewish vote.

Political blogger Yossi Gestetner who first drew attention to the figures wrote, “even more shocking, (it) is the lowest level of support the President has (had) among ‘likely’ Jewish voters.”

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The poll, which notes a margin of error of 3.5% doesn’t assign Obama’s supporters to the Romney camp, which polled a single point gain from the AJC poll to reach 25%.

The biggest increase is in the number of undecided Jewish voters, reported to be at 28%, indicating that more Jewish voters may be on the fence then previously thought.

757 likely voters were interviewed between October 4th -9th for the overall poll, with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind. The number of Jewish respondents is likely to be significantly less.
“Also worth noting,” Gestetner adds, “This is the first likely voters poll, since the AJC, Gallup and other only published polls among registered voters.”

CORRECTION: An earlier version of this article failed to draw sufficient attention to the poll’s disclaimer which noted the “small sample size” of the Jewish demographic interviewed for the poll. Modifications have been made to clarify the matter to the reader. For an in depth update on the significance of the Jewish polling figures, and comment from the poll’s publisher please click here.

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  • lovetheusa1234

    We care about where the jobs are, and they haven’t come back with this president. Let’s look at the energy policy of this president: Why are our gas prices so high? Why no Keystone Pipeline? Why is the cost of coal mining permits closing mines? Why no drilling in the Gulf? Why send our rigs to Brazil? Let’s look at leadership: Why skip to Las Vegas, sit with the women on the View, sit with David Letterman, attend fundraisers with Beyonce the day we find out our ambassador was killed in Benghazi? Why does this president not like to work? We hired him to get this country back and all he does is play golf and attend fundraisers. Why?

  • Fredric M. London

    I agree with Mr. Hertz’s analogy regarding Obama/Chamberlain. In fact, in my opinion, it is much worse. Chamberlain was a coward, acquiescing out of fear. In Obama’s case it is a major part of his worldview. This includes identifying with terrorists and loathing Jews.

    However, while I would never vote for Obama, I would also never vote for Romney. He is a total sham, who has, by necessity, genuflected towards the theocratic fascists who own the GOP. Their position on Israel is most definitely more positive, how could it not be? But all of their other positions are egregious to people with a conscience. Stealing from the poor to give to the rich, forcing their obscene version of morality on the rest of us, outlawing unions, birth control, waging war on women and the middle class is unconscionable and dramatically out of sync with American values.

  • Nicole

    “Further, not protecting the embassy compound after the death of our people and the recovery by CNN of the Ambassador’s diary and the recent congressional hearing of requests for additional security personnel went unheeded. The amateurish decision by the State Department and the White House to not heed these warning and then attempt to deceive the American public can only diminished a failed presidency further. It is now time to elect someone other than BHO. The man is not competent to be in the most powerful position in the world.”

    Exactly. It just completely galls me that they couldn’t even secure the scene for three weeks! Sensitive information and the identities of agents were compromised. This makes no sense. Obama seems to just enjoy the trappings of office but cannot be counted on to lead. His blame-America first attitude toward terrorism is reprehensible. He is a threat to America and our allies.

  • Maybe some Jews have realized that ring on Obama’s4th finger that says THERE IS NO GOD BUT ALLAH means something…and it is not good for the Jews since ALLAH approved of the decapitation of 900 unarmed Jews are Quaraza.

  • A Jewish Canadian observes: Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad is the 21st-century Hitler and President Barack Obama is his Neville Chamberlain. Together, they are now seeking a diplomatic deal to make Israel the 21st-century Czechoslovakia. If so, the six million Jews there would soon have to flee or be killed. So, it is natural that some Jewish Americans are finally waking up to what is really at stake for the Jewish People in the November 2012 USA Presidential election. Time for Jewish Americans to put aside their visceral antipathy for Romney’s Christian American supporters and join them in voting against Obama, who absolutely must leave office! In future elections, there will be plenty of opportunities to affirm gay marriage and a woman’s right to reproductive freedom. These and other social issues are indeed important, but not at the price of giving President Obama a second term in which to complete his plans to sink Israel. And in this regard, there is no need to meet the criminal-law standard that would require President Obama to be proven guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. Nor do we have to meet the civil-law standard of “on the balance of the probabilities.” Because the consequences for the Jewish People are too horrific to contemplate, we only have to satisfy something like “the precautionary principle,” as it is applied in environmental law. Does it seem there’s a hole in the ozone layer? We don’t wait for “all” the scientific evidence to come in. Rather, we act pronto to ban the man-made substances thought to be responsible for ozone depletion. In the same way, there is now sufficient “prima facie” evidence of President Obama’s hostility to Israel. What we know now is enough to justify Jewish Americans swinging into action to deal with this threat to the Jewish People by voting for Romney. And, none of that comes at the expense of the USA economy. Public opinion polls already tell us that to heal the economy most Americans now have more confidence in Romney than Obama. There is also a decade of public opinion polling that suggests that around 75% of Jewish Americans care deeply about Israel. Surely they took note when last month Israel was strongly booed at the Democratic National Convention. This should signal to Jewish Americans that 2012 is the year to take a precautionary “time out” from the Democratic Party. Protecting Jews, Judaism, the Jewish People and Israel at this particular time urgently requires a vote for the Republicans. I’m a Canadian. I can’t vote in your election. Help me and other Jews around the world by voting for Romney!

  • MH8169

    A very interesting and positive article. However, I shall not sing or dance until I know for sure. I recognize that the American electorate can be quite mercurial and things can change on a dime. Romney and Ryan need to continue to be assertive and not pull back. The recent news on the Libyan attack on our American Embassy and the killing of our Ambassador and three other Americans will haunt the POTUS because of the lies he communicated. Further, not protecting the embassy compound after the death of our people and the recovery by CNN of the Ambassador’s diary and the recent congressional hearing of requests for additional security personnel went unheeded. The amateurish decision by the State Department and the White House to not heed these warning and then attempt to deceive the American public can only diminished a failed presidency further. It is now time to elect someone other than BHO. The man is not competent to be in the most powerful position in the world.

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