New Poll: Obama Attracts Only 47% of Likely Jewish Voters
New IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll numbers released yesterday show President Obama attracting a paltry 47% of Jewish votes among likely voters asked whom they would vote for if the U.S. presidential election were held today.
The report on the poll includes a disclaimer that is specific to the Jewish demographic saying, “small sample size. Interpret with caution.”
The number, if accurate, would mark an unprecedented decline in Jewish support from the 78% of Jewish voters that backed the President in 2008, and would also be a significant departure from a recent American Jewish Committee (AJC) poll released Sept. 27 that showed Obama with 65% of the Jewish vote.
Political blogger Yossi Gestetner who first drew attention to the figures wrote, “even more shocking, (it) is the lowest level of support the President has (had) among ‘likely’ Jewish voters.”
The poll, which notes a margin of error of 3.5% doesn’t assign Obama’s supporters to the Romney camp, which polled a single point gain from the AJC poll to reach 25%.
The biggest increase is in the number of undecided Jewish voters, reported to be at 28%, indicating that more Jewish voters may be on the fence then previously thought.
757 likely voters were interviewed between October 4th -9th for the overall poll, with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind. The number of Jewish respondents is likely to be significantly less.
“Also worth noting,” Gestetner adds, “This is the first likely voters poll, since the AJC, Gallup and other only published polls among registered voters.”
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this article failed to draw sufficient attention to the poll’s disclaimer which noted the “small sample size” of the Jewish demographic interviewed for the poll. Modifications have been made to clarify the matter to the reader. For an in depth update on the significance of the Jewish polling figures, and comment from the poll’s publisher please click here.