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October 18, 2012 9:07 am

Day 3: The Algemeiner’s Daily IBD/TIPP Jewish Vote Tracking Poll – Obama: 51.2% Romney 38.7%

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Yarmalkah's embossed with the logos of the 2012 Presidential candidates. Photo: NJ Jewish News.

President Obama climbed again in today’s Algemeiner’s IBD/TIPP Daily Jewish Vote Aggregate Average Tracking Poll  this time by 1.7 points to 51.2.%. Challenger Mitt Romney’s Jewish support fell by 0.5% to 38.7%. The undecided figure continues to drop, now reaching 9.8%, as  it appears voter choices are solidifying as election day nears.

The results of the most recent presidential debate in which President Obama is believed to have performed better than in his first confrontation with Mitt Romney have yet to be seen, as the figures for this poll were gathered before the debate took place.

Today’s Algemeiner poll is an average of aggregated Jewish vote figures provided in the daily IBD/TIPP tracking poll over the last 9 days and is gleaned from an approximate total sampling of 180-216 Jewish respondents.

These numbers mark the lowest level of support for a Democratic candidate since Jimmy Carter who received only 45% of the Jewish vote running against Ronald Reagan in 1980, and the greatest amount of Jewish support for a Republican candidate since that same year when Reagan attracted 39%.

It should be noted that in the final seven days of polling so far Mitt Romney’s support among Jewish voters has not dropped below 35% whereas in the two days prior, it was substantially lower, averaging 22%. It is possible that this shift is a result of the post initial debate timing, which would have allowed more time for the results of a widely considered negative debate performance by President Obama on October 3rd to settle in. Therefore, after 10 days have passed, the Algemeiner Aggregate Average Poll will roll forward, knocking off the figures from the most distant day in order to keep the poll numbers as current as possible, while maintaining a sufficient sample size for providing accurate figures.

In 2008 the IBD/TIPP Poll was crowned the most accurate.

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