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October 19, 2012 11:59 pm

Day 4: The Algemeiner’s Daily IBD/TIPP Jewish Vote Tracking Poll – Obama: 52.5% Romney 38.5%

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President Obama during the debate. Photo: Screenshot.

Once again President Obama inched up in the Algemeiner’s IBD/TIPP Daily Jewish Vote Aggregate Average Tracking Poll,  this time by 1.3 points to 52.5%. Challenger Mitt Romney’s Jewish support fell by 0.2% to 38.5%. The undecided figure continues to drop, now reaching 8.9%, as  it appears voter selection continues to solidify as election day nears.

The effects of Obama’s latest debate performance, which was widely considered to be a substantial improvement on his previous debate, may be beginning to show in the latest figures.

Today’s Algemeiner poll is an average of aggregated Jewish vote figures provided in the daily IBD/TIPP tracking poll over the last 10 days, and is gleaned from an approximate total sampling of 200-240 Jewish respondents. Assuming a U.S. Jewish population of 6,588,065 the confidence level of this poll is 95% with a margin of error of between 6.3% and 6.9% depending on the precise sample size.

These numbers mark the lowest level of support for a Democratic candidate since Jimmy Carter who received only 45% of the Jewish vote running against Ronald Reagan in 1980, and the greatest amount of Jewish support for a Republican candidate since that same year when Reagan attracted 39%.

In 2008 the IBD/TIPP Poll was crowned the most accurate.

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