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October 24, 2012 2:59 pm

Day 9: The Algemeiner’s Daily IBD/TIPP Jewish Vote Tracking Poll – Obama: 66.8% Romney 32.5%

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Yarmalkah's embossed with the logos of the 2012 Presidential candidates. Photo: KoolKipah.com..

President Obama climbed yet again in today’s Algemeiner IBD/TIPP Daily Jewish Vote Aggregate Average Tracking Poll, adding 2.4 points to reach 66.8%.  Rival Mitt Romney’s numbers dropped by 2.6% to reach 32.5%, his lowest total since the first figures published by The Algemeiner. The undecided figure fell for the 8th day running, now reaching 0.2%, as  it appears that most voters have now made their decisions.

The impact of Monday night’s third and final presidential debate remains to be seen, as today’s numbers were gathered before it took place. The discussion was focused on foreign policy and included significant focus on matter that are of interest to Jewish voters, including, Israel’s relationship with the United States, Iran’s nuclear ambitions and the ‘Arab Spring.’

Today’s Algemeiner poll is an average of aggregated Jewish vote figures provided in the daily IBD/TIPP tracking poll over the last 10 days, and is gleaned from an approximate total sampling of 200-240 Jewish respondents. Assuming a U.S. Jewish population of 6,588,065 the confidence level of this poll is 95% with a margin of error of between 6.3% and 6.9% depending on the precise sample size.

These numbers mark the lowest level of support for a Democratic candidate since Michael Dukakis who received 64% of the Jewish vote running against George H.W. Bush in 1988, and the greatest amount of Jewish support for a Republican candidate since that same year when Bush attracted 35%.

In 2008, the IBD/TIPP Poll was crowned the most accurate.

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  • David Makowsky

    This poll is bogus. The first day it was taken it may have been accurate. However there is simply no way the numbers could have edged up to where they are now.

    Please either improve your methodology or stop the nonsense and junk the poll.

  • LT COL HOWARD

    Let me to share with you why I am worried (and why I , a lifelong left of center liberal Democrat, am so concerned with the Democratic Party and with this administration).
    My views come from meetings that have personally attended , from official government reports and reports from RAND, Brookings,CSIS etc.,and from Ali Abunimah, Rashid Khalidi,Robert Malley, and Aaron David Miller. All of these are established Obama administration advisors on the Middle East. None of my views are secondhand. None of my views have been obtained from any “right-wing sources”
    On Tuesday, October 16, 2012 I attended an intelligence discussion held at a nationally prominent ” think tank: ” . This is that conclusion ” In discussing the latest Iran-Israel dynamics, you can’t get away from red lines. President Obama has thus far held back from spelling out what stage of Iranian nuclear development would trigger U.S. military action (e.g., certain levels of enriched uranium that allows Iran to have the capability to produce nuclear weapons, as Netanyahu outlined at the UN, or evidence of actual nuclear weapons development). Just 26 percent of respondents said that if Obama is re-elected, he will fulfill his vow not to allow Iran to produce a nuclear weapon, and 65 percent are skeptical.”
    I’m concerned that Pres. Obama willingly joined into the toast “death to Israel” at the Rashid Khalidi farewell dinner in Chicago (as agreed to by several of the attendees). This concerns me much more than “folders full of women” which illustrated that Gov. Romney appointed more women to high-level positions than any other governor had done up until that time.

  • Mel

    If such a small sampling of voters can reliably predict how Jews will vote this November, be thankful we comprise such a small part of the electorate. Our response to four years of President Obama’s open contempt for Israel supports the proponents of a ban on ritual circumcision. Look at all the brain damage that has resulted!

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