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July 28, 2015 2:22 pm

EXCLUSIVE: New Survey of Jewish Americans Shows Opposition to Iran Deal Increases With More Knowledge of Arguments

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Secretary of State John Kerry addresses reporters after the July 14 announcement of the Iran nuclear deal in Vienna. Photo: State Department.

Secretary of State John Kerry addresses reporters after the July 14 announcement of the Iran nuclear deal in Vienna. Photo: State Department.

The more Jewish Americans know about the Iran nuclear deal the less they like it, a new poll first seen exclusively by The Algemeiner showed.

The survey of 1,034 people was conducted by Olive Tree Strategies on behalf of pro-Israel advocacy group The Israel Project. It claims a margin of error of 3 percent, and is the most extensive yet to be conducted on the issue. It comes as a wide array of U.S. Jewish groups have announced opposition to the deal, which is believed to endanger Israel and U.S. security.

In the survey, which was divided into three parts, respondents were first quizzed about their position on the deal based on their current knowledge without being provided any further information — 47 percent said they oppose it and 44 percent were in favor.

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Asked if Congress should “approve the deal and lift sanctions on Iran,” 40 percent said yes while 45 percent said no.

The pollster then presented a number of talking points both for and against the deal, asking respondents if they agreed or disagreed with the various arguments. The arguments in favor of the deal were taken from the White House website and those against were compiled by The Israel Project.

In this category, an aggregate of 51 percent said Congress should not approve the deal while 35 percent were still in favor of approval.

In the third segment, a series of arguments against the deal are made resulting in a final aggregate of 58 percent wanting Congress to override the deal and 30 percent seeking its approval.

Speaking to The Algemeiner about the poll, Omri Ceren, managing director of press and strategy at The Israel Project, said, “The more that Jewish Americans learn about the details of the Iran deal, the more they believe that Congress should reject it.”

According to Ceren, the “poll shows that when you educate Jewish Americans about the downsides of the deal, which ultimately involve funding and arming the Iranian regime, they end up deciding that the costs are not worth the very unlikely benefits.”

In a summary memo on the poll, Nathan Klein, lead pollster for Olive Tree Strategies, concluded that as public discussion about the deal gains pace, opposition to approving it in Congress will grow.

“As the conversation about Congress’ role with regard to the deal continues to take center stage, there is little question that opposition to the agreement will rise,” Klein said. “Any conversation on the issue, even one including the pro-deal aspect of the conversation, drives opposition higher with this community.”

The survey also found that Jewish Americans were generally more supportive of President Obama — 57 percent to 41 percent — but were more critical of his handling of foreign policy affairs.

The results differ somewhat from a similar survey released by the Los Angeles Jewish Journal last week, which found that 49 percent supported the deal while 31 percent opposed it. When asked if Congress should approve the nuclear agreement, 53 percent said yes, while just 35 percent said no. The Jewish Journal survey was conducted from a sampling of 501 Jewish adults and claims a margin of error of 6 percent.

Recently released polling on the general U.S. population also showed varied results.

On Tuesday, a CNN/ORC poll found that 52 percent said Congress should reject the deal while 44 percent said it should be approved.

A Washington Post/ABC poll published last week, which included arguments in favor of the deal within the query posed to respondents, found that 56 percent of Americans supported the deal while 37 percent opposed it.

Another poll published last week by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center found that Americans disapprove of the deal 48 percent to 38 percent. Commenting at the time on the disparity between the studies, the Los Angeles Times said, “Question wording seems likely to be a big part of the answer.”

 

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  • Eliot Schickler

    Any Jew that is mainstream and loyal to America, not an extremist leftist, should oppose this treaty! The Jews who are anti-Israel should be excommunicated, but normal people in the Jewish Community should oppose this!

  • I do not like saying this but I do believe the Jewish Senators will vote for what they consider the best interest of America, not Israel. In some cases they will vote to appease OBAMA and CLINTON with the hope of getting a seat in the Clinton Cabinet. All the protests and marches will not change their minds. Also please remember power is all amount money. Iran and Europe are busy making all sorts of financial deals and the same is true for America. The Arabs countries are looking after their best interests financially also. If you ask me Israel must attack the nuclear facilities in Iran and not rely on any country. Do it now.

    • yolanda zavala

      I disagree most will vote to appease oboma period. Not any nonsense about what is best for America. What hold does this “man” have on people?! What hold does he have on Jews in American government ? Honestly, do you believe the Iran deal is good for anyone?… with the exception of the few whom will exploit this door opening for financial gain> This is a bad deal and NO ONE IS ALLOWED TO KNOW WHAT”S IN IT?! How can the future of the people’s of the world be fine with that?

  • H.Givon

    The intense discussion re the Iran agreement is an indication of the risk it presents to the free world. Any country that burns the flags of the U.S. and Israel while announcing death threats to both countries should be taken seriously. Would an American citizen sign a pact with a neighbor who threatened such violence – and provide him with financial assistance to carry out his promised acts of hatred? It sounds nonsensical to even contemplate this scenario but this is exactly what the deal means. Even after acquiescence to all of its demands Iran claims not to trust the U.S.!! For the sake of Western civilization the deal must be struck down. It is imperative that Democrats who distanced themselves from the President during the 2014 elections have the courage to do the same now and nullify this horrendous agreement that will lead to a nuclear race and destruction. Obama’s rush to the UN has rendered Congress impotent. It is a shameful act on the part of a “constitutional expert” and must be negated if Congress is to be respected.

  • I think it disinteresting, because of the political consequences of this action. For many years ow the Jewish vote has been considered a vote for the Democratic Party. But now, with this “agreement.” This is pretty much a slap in the face. So who are the Jews going to vote of; if they even vote?
    For not only does this agreement put the nation of Israel at greater risk, but it also obligates the United States to DEFEND Iran from Israel. So if Israel were to launch an air attack against Iran, American fighters would be OBLIGATED to shoot down the Jewish planes.
    That is what John Kerry and Barack Obama have accomplished.

  • martin

    everyone should appose a deal with the devil theres no snake this time just a nutty maniac ayatollah

  • Abu Nudnik

    “Question wording seems likely to be a big part of the answer.”

    No kidding. Considering the enormous errors in recent polling (all skewing left), we must conclude that pollsters are now political operatives.

  • No matter how you slice or dice it, the deal is impossible to swallow and digest. It is very obvious that the main reason the deal that was dictated by Iran was accepted is and was only for monetary gains that will come from trades and that the security was something that the P5+1 and Obama simple brushed aside with the intentions to possibly do something down the road. However what they are neglecting to recognize is that Iran with the present government is a Terrorist state and that they would have no reservations what so ever to give small dirty bombs to smaller terrorists groups that they support. And that is the real danger. BAD DEAL!!!!!

  • Holy Shirt

    The price to America of Jewish assimilation is a nation left defenseless against the inevitable “ass immolation” our enemies always [sooner or later] send our way.

    Whether accidentally or by design, the politically correct elitists directing the USA’s public education establishment have not made critical thinking skills a central goal since days the folksy Carter White House pushed America down the slippery slope of Ignorance.

    By busing them all over town, big cities ceased providing Jewish kids their elementary educations (largely by fellow Jews) in their own neighborhoods.

    The legendary “yiddisher kopp” yeshiva kids were noted for, most secular Jews sent to the dustbin of history.

  • Peter Joffe

    Nobody should doubt that when you negotiate with terrorists all you do is postpone the time to the next war. Hamas, Hezbollah and whoever else are good examples. The Quran tells its faithful that whatever lies are told in the case of final victory for Islam are OK. I cannot believe that Obama as well as Kerry are not Muslims?? If they are not officially then they certainly behave as if they are.
    We are in deep trouble.

  • Lia

    Keep telling the truth about the deal & fewer & fewer thinking Jewish people (apart from J Street) will vote democrat again.

  • Reform School

    “…a new poll first seen exclusively by The Algemeiner.” Parochialism and Exclusives, marks of healthy competition during times of stability can be one’s undoing during periods if instability. If the West and its freedoms are to survive the Muslim horde, we must suppress competitive instincts and work together. Houses divided against themselves cannot stand.

  • Abe Simhony

    Tell me, you refer to a number of polls, why don’t you even mention two very recent polls conducted by independent pollsters on behalf of J Street, producing very different results (60% of Jewish voters supporting the Iran deal) I thought the algemeiner was an independent paper and not a mouthpiece of TIP and/or AIPAC.

  • Abbushuki

    About that skewed leftist Jewish Journal ‘survey’: It’s not merely how the questions are asked, but who is considered to be a ‘Jew’ for the purpose of the survey. I read their protocol.

    1. When called, respondents were asked if someone who called himself a Jew lived in his/her household. If yes, then the respondent himself was counted as a Jew. Not even the extreme Reform goes by that definition of a Jew, but that’s the ‘Jewish’ Journal’s definition.

    2. Calls were made randomly across the US. Orthodox, who are pro-Israel, unlike unaffiliated Jews, live in clusters which would automatically make them under-represented due to a very limited number of calls to their zip codes if any, as they sought 500 “Jews” randomly in the US.

    There is a $2 million JStreet campaign to counter Israel’s security. Fake surveys such as this one are a crucial part of it, as results showing that most ‘Jews’ favor the deal can be used by liberal media to prove that Israel even opposes the opinion of American Jewry. Shows to go you what you can do with money. Every reader of Der Algemeiner knows that the results they artificially produced do not represent American ‘Jewish’ opinion.

  • Abbushuki

    About that skewed leftist Jewish Journal ‘survey’: It’s not merely how the questions are asked, but who is considered to be a ‘Jew’ for the purpose of the survey. I read their protocol.

    1. When called, respondents were asked if someone who called himself a Jew lived in his/her household. If yes, then the respondent himself was counted as a Jew. Not even the extreme Reform goes by that definition of a Jew, but that’s the ‘Jewish’ Journal’s definition.

    2. Calls were made randomly across the US. Orthodox, who are pro=Israel, unlike unaffiliated Jews live in clusters which would automatically make them under-represented due to a very limited number of calls to their zip codes if any, as they sought 500 “Jews” randomly in the US.

    There is a $2 million JStreet campaign to counter Israel’s security. Fake surveys such as this one are a crucial part of it, as results showing that most ‘Jews’ favor the deal can be used by liberal media to prove that Israel even opposes the opinion of American Jewry. Shows to go you what you can do with money. Every reader of Der Algemeiner knows that the results they artificially produced do not represent American ‘Jewish’ opinion.

  • They have become like the Iranian slave jews. If they want to live peacefully, they have to be like that only. But Israel has gained in Africa. So even if we lose America we can gain africa as the visionary Theodore Herzel wanted

  • Howard Kahan

    Sorry folks. This is wishfull thinking. Poll Shmoll, our people helped elect obama twice, with the polls saying he lost the majority of the Jewish vote on the second term election. I hope I am wrong. I would love to eat these words.

  • David Lubin

    What a relief.

  • US Secretary of State Kerry in an effort of “appeasement” signed the Iran Deal just like Neville Chamberlain ex British Prime Minister signed a deal with Hitler.
    Chamberlain is best known for his appeasement foreign policy, and in particular for his signing of the Munich Agreement in 1938. – Eventually this deal is only a piece of paper that many know will not hold the ink that it is written on,since the Iranians have only to gain time, before striking the final blow against the western hemisphere.- There is a memory lapse in all this that Iran supports Jihadists, Hezbolla and HAMAS as well. Kerry has forgotten the old saying; “tell me with whom you go out with and I will tell you what you are”. Also, Kerry has forgotten that Iran has been taking Uranium from Venezuela to enrich it in making nuclear fuel and “bombs as well”. Time will prove me and those oposing this deal whether we were right or wrong.

  • Michael Burkert

    But…but…but…I thought John F Kerry (who claims to have served in Vietnam) was a Jew? How is this possible?

  • nelson marans

    Obviously education about the ramifications of the Iranian deal are needed, as shown by the polls. The more you know the more likely you are to see the flaws in the deal. Unfortunately, the average U. S. citizen including Jews are too involved in our daily lives and needs to assess critically the impact on our nation and our allies of this terrible accord.

  • Francis Figliola

    Why weren’t American Jews advised of the results of Israeli polls showing Israeli opposition in overwhelming numbers against this mindless, harebrained, and halfwitted “treaty” with Iran that Obama is peddling? After all, it is Israeli Jews who are being left dangling. I guess it’s Obama’s sense of revenge.

  • Mickey Oberman

    Could American Jews finally be emerging from their long slumber?

    I only hope it is not too late.

  • shloime

    obama and kerry have lied incessantly about this “deal”, so it is to be expected that the more informed a person is, the less likely they are to support it.

    but the story should start right at the beginning, where iran, a natural gas exporting country, doesn’t actually need nuclear reactors. not only could they build gas-fired generating plants faster and cheaper, but they also don’t have large domestic uranium deposits.

    and their “need” or “right” to enrichment is also doubtful. they could have purchased commercial enrichment services on the open market, and avoided any suspicions or sanctions. in fact, the security council demanded that they halt all uranium enrichment.

    the security council also demanded that they dismantle the fortified fordow enrichment plant, which was built in direct violation of iran’s obligations under the nnpt, which they signed. it also required them to stop work on ballistic missiles, and sponsorship of terrorism.

    needless to say, iran has made not a single concession, on any of these issues, under the terms of the obama-kerry (capitulation) agreement.

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