Donald Trump during his speech at the 2016 AIPAC conference. Photo: AIPAC.

Hot Air – We’ve been seeing stories like this for weeks now. No matter what the polls show, Democrats still seems awfully nervous that this year could be different and that normal predictions about what the electorate will do just won’t apply this time. From Politico:

In 1992, Bill Clinton effectively split the white vote with President George H.W. Bush; he lost it, but narrowly, by only a 39 percent to 41 percent margin. That was critical to his victory, because whites represented 87 per cent of the electorate. In 2012, President Barack Obama lost the white vote overwhelmingly to Mitt Romney, 39-59. But by then America had changed, and the white share of the vote had dropped to 72 per cent. Obama’s overwhelming margins among blacks (93-6), Hispanics (71-27) and Asians (73-26) handed him the victory…

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