President Obama climbed 1.5 percentage points to reach 49.5% in today’s Algemeiner’s IBD/TIPP Daily Jewish Vote Aggregate Average Tracking Poll, while Mitt Romney’s total increased by 0.1 percent to 39.2%, with both candidates eating into the undecided crowd bringing it down to 11.1% from 12.7% yesterday.
The numbers come hours before the candidates will face off in their second debate of election season in a town-hall style event that will feature discussion on foreign policy items including the United States’ relationship with Israel.
Today’s Algemeiner poll is an average of aggregated Jewish vote figures provided in the daily IBD/TIPP tracking poll over the last 8 days and is gleaned from an approximate total sampling of 160-192 Jewish respondents.
These numbers mark the lowest level of support for a Democratic candidate since Jimmy Carter who received only 45% of the Jewish vote running against Ronald Reagan in 1980, and the greatest amount of Jewish support for a Republican candidate since 1956 when Eisenhower attracted 40%.
It is interesting to note that in the final six days of polling so far Mitt Romney’s support among Jewish voters has not dropped below 40% whereas in the two days prior, it was substantially lower, averaging 22%. It is possible that this shift is a result of the post debate timing, which would have allowed more time for the results of a widely considered negative debate performance by President Obama on October 3rd to settle in. Therefore, after 10 days have passed, the Algemeiner Aggregate Average Poll will roll forward, knocking off the figures from the most distant day in order to keep the poll numbers as current as possible, while maintaining a sufficient sample size for providing accurate figures.