Day 8: The Algemeiner’s Daily IBD/TIPP Jewish Vote Tracking Poll – Obama: 64.4% Romney 35.1%

October 23, 2012 12:23 pm 2 comments

Yarmalkah's embossed with the logos of the 2012 Presidential candidates. Photo: KoolKipah.com.

President Obama climbed yet again in today’s Algemeiner IBD/TIPP Daily Jewish Vote Aggregate Average Tracking Poll, adding 3.4 points to reach 64.4%.  Rival Mitt Romney’s numbers dropped by 1.9% to reach 35.1%, his lowest total since the first figures published by The Algemeiner. The undecided figure fell for the 7th day running, now reaching 0.5%, as  it appears that most voters have now made their decisions.

Last night the President and Governor Romney faced each other in the third and final presidential debate. The discussion was focused on foreign policy and included significant focus on matter that are of interest to Jewish voters, including, Israel’s relationship with the United States, Iran’s nuclear ambitions and the ‘Arab Spring.’

Today’s Algemeiner poll is an average of aggregated Jewish vote figures provided in the daily IBD/TIPP tracking poll over the last 10 days, and is gleaned from an approximate total sampling of 200-240 Jewish respondents. Assuming a U.S. Jewish population of 6,588,065 the confidence level of this poll is 95% with a margin of error of between 6.3% and 6.9% depending on the precise sample size.

These numbers mark the lowest level of support for a Democratic candidate since Michael Dukakis who received 64% of the Jewish vote running against George H.W. Bush in 1988, and the greatest amount of Jewish support for a Republican candidate since that same year when Bush attracted 35%.

In 2008, the IBD/TIPP Poll was crowned the most accurate.

2 Comments

  • LT COL HOWARD

    Let me to share with you why I am worried (and why I , a lifelong left of center liberal Democrat, am so concerned with the Democratic Party and with this administration).
    My views come from meetings that have personally attended , from official government reports and reports from RAND, Brookings,CSIS etc.,and from Ali Abunimah, Rashid Khalidi,Robert Malley, and Aaron David Miller. All of these are established Obama administration advisors on the Middle East. None of my views are secondhand. None of my views have been obtained from any “right-wing sources”
    On Tuesday, October 16, 2012 I attended an intelligence discussion held at a nationally prominent “ think tank: “ . This is that conclusion “ In discussing the latest Iran-Israel dynamics, you can’t get away from red lines. President Obama has thus far held back from spelling out what stage of Iranian nuclear development would trigger U.S. military action (e.g., certain levels of enriched uranium that allows Iran to have the capability to produce nuclear weapons, as Netanyahu outlined at the UN, or evidence of actual nuclear weapons development). Just 26 percent of respondents said that if Obama is re-elected, he will fulfill his vow not to allow Iran to produce a nuclear weapon, and 65 percent are skeptical.”
    I’m concerned that Pres. Obama willingly joined into the toast “death to Israel” at the Rashid Khalidi farewell dinner in Chicago (as agreed to by several of the attendees). This concerns me much more than “folders full of women” which illustrated that Gov. Romney appointed more women to high-level positions than any other governor had done up until that time.

  • American first and last, I have never been a Republican. Attaining age 21 (minimum voting age at the time) 1968 was my first election cycle. I registered Democrat and remained so 15 years until 1983, when I withdrew from partisanship as part of PA’s judiciary. Ten years later, the PA Dept. of State decided, based on the 1992 vote tally, PA election law made the citizens who petitioned Ross Perot onto the Pennsylvania ballot constituted a minor political party, “like it or not.” The first thing ‘Pennsylvanians for Perot’ (as the Secretary of State dubbed our fledgling party) was rush to change the name to stop a lawsuit by Republican Perot for “using his name without permission.” We chose ‘Patriot’ because we already had most of the letters, in the right order.

    Perot’s attempt to educate average American voters saw him organize ‘United We Stand’, a top-down education not-for-profit, named for his campaign book. [As a footnote, the Republican Party's "Contract with America" including its title, was lifted verbatim from that book, with neither permission nor credit---such are the political whores of both major parties]. By 1996, Perot discovered most of his United We Stand members, like most American voters of the day, were as oblivious to the looming economic danger the growing national debt posed to the future of America as the average Jewish-American voter is oblivious to the existential political danger all of Barack Hussein Obama’s policies pose to the security of both the State of Israel and the United States. Apparently their ‘Liberal Sensibility’ has blinded them to the historic reality until the modern State of Israel was re-established in 1948, U.S. Jews, without a place to go in bad times, lacked the freedom they now take for granted. The day Israel disappears, a Jewish America under Barack Obama won’t be far behind.

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