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January 17, 2025 10:46 am

Could Syria Become the Next Afghanistan?

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avatar by Gregory Lyakhov

Opinion

Rebel fighters holds weapons at the Citadel of Aleppo, after Syrian rebels announced that they have ousted Bashar al-Assad, in Aleppo, Syria, Dec. 9, 2024. Photo: REUTERS/Karam al-Masri

As a high school student, I’m constantly reminded of the threats posed to me and my peers. Whether it’s the devastating reality of school shootings or the fear of a subway attack in New York, our schools and media make us hyper-aware of the dangers lurking in the world today.

But amidst all this fear, one question lingers: Why is the world so silent about the obvious and growing threat of terrorism?

The recent New Year’s Eve attacks in New Orleans and Las Vegas are stark reminders of this danger. Both incidents, now being investigated as acts of terrorism, have cast a shadow over what should have been a celebration of hope and renewal. For me and my peers, these events reinforce the reality of living in a world where such threats feel constant and inescapable.

These attacks are not isolated incidents — but part of a chilling new wave of terrorism. And there is now the potential for more instability, with the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria. The instability in Syria is eerily reminiscent of Afghanistan’s past — ungoverned spaces where extremist ideologies take root and flourish. Yet, while the global community acknowledges the lessons of Afghanistan, it seems reluctant to confront the threat brewing in Syria with the same urgency.

As students, we’re taught history to avoid repeating its mistakes. But the parallels between Syria’s current state and Afghanistan’s history are undeniable. Afghanistan’s instability in the 1980s and 1990s led to the Taliban coming to power, which allowed Al-Qaeda to rise, culminating in the devastating 9/11 attacks. Today, groups like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Syria could represent a similar threat, using ungoverned territories to grow their influence and recruit from vulnerable populations.

HTS, an offshoot of Al-Qaeda, has rebranded itself to appear more moderate, but its core ideology remains rooted in global jihadism. In the past, the group has capitalized on the despair and instability in refugee camps, particularly in Jordan, where over 1.3 million displaced Syrians reside. These camps, marked by poverty and trauma, provide fertile ground for extremist narratives to take hold. HTS’ recruitment strategies often use propaganda, social media, and local networks to spread its ideology far beyond Syria.

As a student living in constant fear of the next potential attack, I wonder why these realities aren’t discussed more openly. We’re bombarded with stories about personal safety — lockdown drills, active shooter training — but global terrorism feels like a distant, ignored threat.

Unlike Al-Qaeda or the Taliban, HTS has diversified its funding, making it more resilient and adaptable. The group sustains itself through local taxation, private donations, and control over trade routes. It even collects fees from humanitarian aid deliveries in areas under its influence. This financial independence allows HTS to evade traditional counterterrorism measures and extend its reach globally. If it decides to pursue a malign influence in the Middle East, the entire world could soon feel the consequences.

History has shown us the cost of ignoring instability in regions like Afghanistan and Iraq. The collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime has plunged Syria into chaos, creating conditions perfect for the growth of extremist groups like HTS. This is not just a Middle Eastern problem — it’s a global one. The international community must act decisively to stabilize the region by providing humanitarian aid, countering extremist narratives, and fostering diplomatic solutions. Failure to act risks turning Syria into the next Afghanistan, with devastating consequences for the entire world.

The time to act is now. If the global community remains silent, we risk allowing history to repeat itself — at a cost we cannot afford.

The writer is a high school student from Great Neck, New York, passionate about advocacy and government. Through his writing and activism, he engages others in meaningful conversations about U.S. politics, international relations, and Israel’s significance as both a homeland for the Jewish people and a key ally of the United States.

The opinions presented by Algemeiner bloggers are solely theirs and do not represent those of The Algemeiner, its publishers or editors. If you would like to share your views with a blog post on The Algemeiner, please be in touch through our Contact page.

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