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March 27, 2022 5:20 am

2022 Demographic Update: Israel’s Solid Jewish Majority

avatar by Yoram Ettinger /


Haredi Jews at the Western Wall in Jerusalem. Photo: Pixabay

Contrary to conventional wisdom, in 2022 Israel is not facing a potential Arab demographic time bomb in the combined areas of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) and pre-1967 Israel. In fact, the Jewish state enjoys a robust Jewish demographic tailwind.

The political and demographic establishment in Israel and the West persist in blindly echoing official Palestinian population figures, ignoring an artificial 50% inflation. In 2022, Israel is the only Western democracy with a relatively high fertility rate, which facilitates further economic growth with no reliance on migrant labor.

Moreover, Israel’s thriving demography provides for bolstered national security (larger classes of recruits) and a more confident foreign policy.

In 2022, for the first time — in defiance of projections made by Israel’s demographic establishment since the early 1940s — Israel’s Jewish fertility rate exceeds its Muslim fertility rate. Indeed, Israel’s Jewish fertility rate is higher than that of all Arab countries other than Yemen, Iraq and Egypt.

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Moreover, Israel is currently facing a potential wave of aliyah (Jewish immigration) of some 500,000 immigrants from Ukraine, Russia, other former Soviet republics, France, Britain, Germany, etc.

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